Dienstag, 12. März 2013

TOP 20 Papal Candidates

(Source: centurioweblog.blogspot.ch , 11.3.2013, 23:00)
Cardinal Country Probability 
Angelo Scola Italy 19.75%
Odilo Scherer Brazil 11.11%
Peter Turkson Ghana 9.88%
Marc Ouellet Canada 4.44%
Gianfranco Ravasi Italy 3.17%
Seán Patrick O'Malley United States 3.17%
Raymond Leo Burke United States 2.78%
Luis Antonio Tagle Philippines 2.22%
Timothy M. Dolan United States 2.22%
Angelo Bagnasco Italy 1.78%
Leonardo Sandri Argentina 1.78%
Mauro Piacenza Italy 1.11%
Óscar Andrés Rodríguez Maradiaga Honduras 1.11%
Philippe Barbarin France 1.11%
Thomas Christopher Collins Canada 1.11%
Wilfrid Napier South Africa 1.11%
Jorge Bergoglio Argentina 0.89%
Antonio Cañizares Llovera Spain 0.67%
Béchara Boutros Raï Lebanon 0.67%
Agostino Vallini Italy 0.67%

Tonights update of my top 20 Papal probabilities. Amazing: Card. Raymond Leo Burke has shot up (from practically nowhere) to place number 7. Also Sean O Malley OFM Cap has risen in rank order to number 6, whereas Odilo Scherer has replaced Turkson as No.2 (despite his Sacrilege in the Laetare Mass yesterday in Rome - Cathcon has reported). The mathematical algorithm for calculating probabilities is unchanged, I simply updated the odds sourced from paddypower.com @ 11 pm CET.

Happy conclusion: The US-American Cardinals are now definitely in the Game and will play an important part in the conclave. Globalisation in the Church does not jump in leaps and bounds but moves rather from Italy to Poland to Germany to US?