| (Source: centurioweblog.blogspot.ch , 11.3.2013, 23:00) | ||
| Cardinal | Country | Probability |
| Angelo Scola | Italy | 19.75% |
| Odilo Scherer | Brazil | 11.11% |
| Peter Turkson | Ghana | 9.88% |
| Marc Ouellet | Canada | 4.44% |
| Gianfranco Ravasi | Italy | 3.17% |
| Seán Patrick O'Malley | United States | 3.17% |
| Raymond Leo Burke | United States | 2.78% |
| Luis Antonio Tagle | Philippines | 2.22% |
| Timothy M. Dolan | United States | 2.22% |
| Angelo Bagnasco | Italy | 1.78% |
| Leonardo Sandri | Argentina | 1.78% |
| Mauro Piacenza | Italy | 1.11% |
| Óscar Andrés Rodríguez Maradiaga | Honduras | 1.11% |
| Philippe Barbarin | France | 1.11% |
| Thomas Christopher Collins | Canada | 1.11% |
| Wilfrid Napier | South Africa | 1.11% |
| Jorge Bergoglio | Argentina | 0.89% |
| Antonio Cañizares Llovera | Spain | 0.67% |
| Béchara Boutros Raï | Lebanon | 0.67% |
| Agostino Vallini | Italy | 0.67% |
Tonights update of my top 20 Papal probabilities. Amazing: Card. Raymond Leo Burke has shot up (from practically nowhere) to place number 7. Also Sean O Malley OFM Cap has risen in rank order to number 6, whereas Odilo Scherer has replaced Turkson as No.2 (despite his Sacrilege in the Laetare Mass yesterday in Rome - Cathcon has reported). The mathematical algorithm for calculating probabilities is unchanged, I simply updated the odds sourced from paddypower.com @ 11 pm CET.
Happy conclusion: The US-American Cardinals are now definitely in the Game and will play an important part in the conclave. Globalisation in the Church does not jump in leaps and bounds but moves rather from Italy to Poland to Germany to US?
